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Volatility

US Existing Home Sales is expected to decline from previous month as current market situation is adding more pressure to the housing sector. Here’s forecast:

Existing Home Sales Forecast 4.11M Previous 3.83M
ACTION: USD/JPY BUY 4.5M SELL 3.70M

The Trade Plan
Because the Housing sector is one of the most focused news events out of the US, this release will certainly cause some volatility in the market, especially if our tradable figures (+/- 400K) were hit. With the focus of the nation, and of the world, on the status of U.S. housing sector, this release may bring about a strong sentiment of risk appetite/aversion if our BUY/SELL trigger is hit…


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Forex Strategy For US Existing Home Sales 08/24/10

by Henry Liu on August 23, 2010

US Existing Home Sales is expected to decline from previous month as current market situation is adding more pressure to the housing sector. Here’s forecast:

Existing Home Sales Forecast 4.70M Previous 5.37M
ACTION: USD/JPY BUY 5.10M SELL 4.30M

The Trade Plan
Because the Housing sector is one of the most important news events out of the US, this release will certainly cause some volatility in the market, especially if our tradable figures (+/- 400K) were hit. With the focus of the nation, and of the world, on the status of U.S. housing sector, this release may bring about a strong sentiment of risk appetite/aversion if our BUY/SELL trigger is hit…


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The plan for Existing Home Sales release from U.S. will be the typical retracement trading method, where we’ll wait for the release and then wait for a decent retracement before getting into a trade. Here is the forecast for this release:

Existing Home Sales Forecast 5.18M Previous 5.66M
ACTION: USD/JPY BUY 5.60M SELL 4.80M


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9:00am (NY Time) CA BOC Rate Decision   Forecast 0.25%      Previous 0.25%
ACTION:  USD/CAD  Depend on Market Condition

BOC (Bank of Canada) will renders its Overnight Rate decisions for the last time in 2009, and today’s meeting will be watched by traders and speculators since interest rate policy serves as a tool to curb inflation and maintain price stability, this news event is probably the most important event for the day.

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US Existing Home Sales m/m 11/23/09

by Henry Liu on November 22, 2009

10:00am NY Time US Existing Home Sales    Forecast 5.71M     Previous 5.57M
ACTION: USD/JPY          BUY 6.11M            SELL 5.37M

We’ll focus on the Existing Home Sales, and since Housing news is one of the more important news event out of the US, this news release will certainly cause some volatility especially if our tradable figures were hit. It is important to consider that if we get a better than expected release, USD could suffer from risk appetite sentiment as signs of housing recovery translate into equity gains; however, a worse release may boost USD demand as investors seek safe-haven shelter in U.S. Treasury.  It will be a typical battle between fundamental outlook and risk sentiment… With USD just rallied last week against all other majors, a positive release could accelerate USD’s decline as demand for risk appetite may return to the market.


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US Existing Home Sales m/m 10/23/09

by Henry Liu on October 22, 2009

10:00am (NY Time) US Existing Home Sales  Forecast 5.37M      Previous 5.10M
ACTION: USD/JPY, USD/CHF                                           BUY 5.77M                SELL 4.90M

We’ll focus on the Existing Home Sales, which is expected at 5.37M;  Our tradable difference is 400K, or 0.4 Million; if the actual figure is lower, it would be bearish for the USD and good for risk aversion; if the number is higher, then it would be bullish for USD and good for risk appetite.


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US FOMC Meeting Minutes 10/14/09

by Henry Liu on October 13, 2009

[flv:http://www.newsprofiteer.com/101409-usfomc/101409-usfomc.mp4 480 360]

2:00pm (NY Time) US FOMC Meeting Minutes
ACTION: N/A

FOMC Meeting minutes is released 3 weeks after the Fed Fund Rate decision, and we get 8 rate decisions out of the year from Federal Reserve, therefore also about 8 of these minutes releases.

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