by Henry Liu on January 26, 2012
Here is the forecast for the US Advanced GDP q/q :
8:30am (NY Time) US Advance GDP q/q
Forecast 3.0% Previous 1.8%
ACTION: SELL EURUSD 3.3% / BUY EURUSD 2.5%
The Trade Plan
We are looking for a deviation between 0.3% ~ 0.5% from the forecasted figure of 3.0%. Therefore if we get a 3.3% on the 4th quarter GDP, it would be US Dollar positive. We will SELL EURUSD. However, if we get a 2.7% release or worse, then we would be BUY EURUSD. We’ll be looking to trade this release based on my Retracement Trading Method; since this is a high impact release, strong market volatility is expected immediately after the release.
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by Henry Liu on January 18, 2012
We´ll be trading US Core CPI m/m release tomorrow. CPI or Consumer Price Index, also known as the “true cost of living”, is what drives Central Banks to raise/cut interest rate, therefore this release will be widely watched. Here´s the forecast for the CPI:
8:30am (NY Time) US Core CPI m/m Forecast 0.1% Previous 0.2%
ACTION: 0.3% BUY USDCHF / -0.1% SELL USDJPY
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by Henry Liu on January 11, 2012
We´ll be getting the U.S. Core Retail Sales (and Retail Sales) figure out tomorrow. As high impact news releases are concerned, Retail Sales make up about 2/3 of U.S. GDP (Gross Domestic Product); Core Retail Sales report excludes Auto sales which comprises 20% of total retail sales. Therefore, we are more focused on daily consumer spending on goods found in such places as department stores, gas stations, and restaurants.
Here´s the forecast:
8:30am (NY Time) US Core Retail Sales Forecast 0.3% Previous 0.2%
ACTION: 0.8% SELL EURUSD / -0.2% SELL USDJPY
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by Henry Liu on December 15, 2011
We´ll be trading US Core CPI m/m release tomorrow. CPI or Consumer Price Index, also known as the “true cost of living”, is what drives Central Banks to raise/cut interest rate, therefore this release will be widely watched. Here´s the forecast for the CPI:
8:30am (NY Time) US Core CPI m/m Forecast 0.1% Previous 0.1%
ACTION: 0.3% BUY USDJPY / -0.1% SELL USDJPY
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by Henry Liu on December 12, 2011
We´ll be getting the U.S. Core Retail Sales (and Retail Sales) figure out tomorrow. As high impact news releases are concerned, Retail Sales make up about 2/3 of U.S. GDP (Gross Domestic Product); Core Retail Sales report excludes Auto sales which comprises 20% of total retail sales. Therefore, we are more focused on daily consumer spending on goods found in such places as department stores, gas stations, and restaurants.
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by Henry Liu on December 12, 2011
We´ll be trading the UK Consumer Price Index (CPI) release at 4:30am NY Time today. We´ll be looking at the yearly release figure and the market could react with lots of volatility as CPI is the basic measurement of Inflation, therefore expect to see more exaggerated moves if we get a huge surprise release. Here is the forecast:
4:30am NY Time UK CPI y/y Forecast 4.8% Previous 5.0%
ACTION: GBP/USD BUY 4.5% SELL 5.1%
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by Henry Liu on November 21, 2011
Here is the forecast for the US Prelim GDP q/q :
8:30am (NY Time) US Prelim GDP q/q
Forecast 2.4% Previous 2.5%
ACTION: USDJPY BUY 2.7% / USDJPY SELL 2.1%
The Trade Plan
We are looking for a deviation between 0.3% from the forecasted figure of 2.4%. Therefore if we get a 2.7% on the third quarter GDP, it would be US Dollar positive. We will BUY USD/JPY. However, if we get a 2.1% release or worse, then we would be BUYING EURUSD. We’ll be looking to trade this release based on my Retracement Trading Method; since this is a high impact release, strong market volatility is expected immediately after the release.
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