Forex Trading Plan & Video For RBNZ Rate Decision 07/28/10

NZD

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RBNZ (Reserve Bank of New Zealand) will be releasing its interest rate decision today and it is widely expected that Gov. Bollard will hike rates today from the current level of 2.75% to 3.00%; here is the forecast: 

5:00pm (NY Time) RBNZ Rate Decision Forecast 3.00% Previous 2.75%
ACTION: NZD/USD BUY 3.25% SELL 2.75%

Forex Plan For New Zealand GDP q/q 06/23/10

NZD

6:45pm (NY Time) NZ GDP q/q   Forecast 0.5%  Previous 0.8%
ACTION: NZD/USD         BUY 0.8%            SELL 0.2%

New Zealand GDP is a high impact news release scheduled on a quarterly basis… The expected consensus number is 0.5%, therefore if we get a 0.3% of deviation, we should see market move 40 pips within the hour.  NZD has been benefitting from the recent risk appetite sentiment as the result of China’s announcement of ending its peg with USD, and the fact that RBNZ has started its rate tightening cycle. If we get a positive reading on the GDP number, expect NZD/USD to rise and retest recent resistance levels; if the GDP remains heavily to the downside, a decent retracement should be expected of NZD and 0.6800 should provide strong support.

RBNZ Official Cash Rate Decision (Interest Rate) 12/09/09

3:00pm (NY Time)  RBNZ Rate Decision   Forecast 2.50%    Previous 2.50%
ACTION: NZD/USD        BUY 2.75%     SELL Unchanged

RBNZ is expected to keep rates unchanged at the current level of 2.50% once again during today’s rate decision, as unanimously agreed by all economists surveyed, according to Bloomberg.  As a matter of fact, there seems to be no fundamental reason supporting a rate hike for NZD in the near future, as the current inflationary target for NZD remains below the magical 2.0% level until perhaps 2011…

RBNZ Official Cash Rate Decision 10/28/09

4:00pm (NY Time)  RBNZ Rate Decision   Forecast 2.50%    Previous 2.50%
ACTION: NZD/USD        BUY 2.75%     SELL Unchanged

RBNZ is expected to leave rates unchanged at the current rate of 2.50%, as unanimously agreed by 11 economists surveyed, according to Bloomberg.  As a matter of fact, New Zealand’s economic outlook is still bleak, although NZD has appreciated over 32% in the past 6 months benefited from the surge in risk appetite  sentiment, but sentiment alone will not make RBNZ hike rates…

NZ GDP q/q (Gross Domestic Product) 09/22/09

6:45pm (NY Time) NZ GDP q/q   Forecast -0.2%  Previous -1.0%
ACTION: NZD/USD         BUY 0.1%            SELL -0.5%

RBNZ Official Cash Rate Decision 09/09/09

5:00pm (NY Time) RBNZ Rate Decision   Forecast 2.50%    Previous 2.50%
ACTION: NZD/USD        BUY 2.75%         SELL 2.25%

RBNZ has been keeping its rate on hold for 2 rate decisions in a row as the last cut was back in April this year from 3.00% down to 2.50%.  The fundamental outlook for NZ remains bleak as during the last rate decision Governor Bollard expressed a concern that rates could move lower. 

RBNZ Official Cash Rate Decision and Statement 07/29/09

RBNZ (Reserve Bank of New Zealand) will be rendering its Interest Rate Decision on the current rate of 2.50%.  Analysts consensus is for an unchanged verdict at 2.50% as the current market condition and New Zealand’s economic outlook don’t justify further rate cutting or hiking at this present moment.  However, it is possible we might see some speculative market movement prior to this release, as the accompanied statement may disclose future monetary policy direction and surprise the market.