Forex News Analysis & Video For US Advanced GDP q/q 07/30/10

USA

We are also getting the Canadian monthly GDP release at the same time of this release, therefore I’d recommend to either trade the U.S. release or concentrate on the Canadian release, do not try to trade both of them together… Here’s the forecast for U.S. Adv. GDP:

8:30am (NY Time) US ADV GDP q/q Forecast 2.5% Previous 2.7%
ACTION: USD/JPY BUY 2.8% SELL 2.2%

Trading Plan For US Prelim GDP q/q 5/27/10

USA

US Prelim GDP is also known as the 2nd Quarterly GDP release.  Since GDP is the measurement of the economy, traders pay more attention to this release as any surprise numbers could change the short term trend… Here is the forecast:

8:30am NY Time US Prelim GDP q/q  Forecast 3.5%  Previous 3.2%
ACTION: USD/JPY         BUY 3.8%        SELL 3.2%

Here’s How To Trade U.S. Adv. GDP q/q 04/30/10

USA

We are also getting the Canadian monthly GDP release at the same time of this release, therefore I’d recommend to stay out of USD/CAD unless you are planning to trade both news together and they happen to have a conflict…

Here’s the forecast for U.S. Adv. GDP:

8:30am (NY Time) US ADV GDP q/q     Forecast 3.4%     Previous 5.6%
ACTION: USD/JPY USD/CHF                     BUY 3.7%                SELL 3.1%

US Prelim GDP q/q 02/26/2010

8:30am NY Time US Prelim GDP q/q  Forecast 5.6%  Previous 5.7%
ACTION: USD/JPY         BUY 5.9%        SELL 5.3%

We’ll be trading the 4th (Q4 2009) quarterly release of U.S. GDP number.  The first release, or the Advanced GDP release last month, came out surprising upwards at 5.7% and we’ll probably not see much volatility in the market on this second release as more usually during the 2nd release more data have become available thus less possibilities of surprise.  The important fact is to consider the context of the market at the time of the news release, remember market have priced in this release already.

US Advanced GDP q/q 01/29/10

8:30am (NY Time) US ADV GDP q/q     Forecast 4.5%     Previous 2.2%
ACTION: USD/JPY USD/CHF                     BUY 4.8%                SELL 4.2%

US Prelim GDP q/q 11/24/09

8:30am NY Time US Prelim GDP q/q  Forecast 2.9%  Previous 3.5%
ACTION: USD/JPY         BUY 3.2%        SELL 2.6%

Our focus tomorrow will be on the second quarterly release of U.S. GDP numbers.  The first release, or the Advanced GDP release last month, came out surprising upwards; however, the surprise of 3.5% was largely made up by the uptick in Motor Vehicle components, which added 1.66% to the GDP number.  Therefore, the actual GDP release should’ve missed consensus expectation if it wasn’t for the “Cash for Clunkers” program sponsored by the government.

US Adv. GDP q/q 10/29/09

8:30am (NY Time) US ADV GDP q/q     Forecast 3.2%     Previous -0.7%
ACTION: USD/JPY USD/CHF                     BUY 3.5%                SELL 2.9%

US Advanced GDP q/q 07/31/09

8:30am (NY Time) US ADV GDP q/q     Forecast -1.4%     Previous -5.5%
ACTION: USD/JPY                                             BUY -1.1%                SELL -1.7%

GDP, which is defined (from wikipedia) as “the market value of all final goods and services produced within a country in a given period of time. It is also considered the sum of value added at every stage of production of all final goods and services produced within a country in a given period of time.” GDP number has a direct effect on the Interest rate of the currency, it is one of the news indicators that affects FOMC’s decision directly.