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US Core CPI m/m 11/18/09

by Henry Liu on November 17, 2009

8:30am (NY Time) US Core CPI m/m  Forecast 0.1%  Previous 0.2%
ACTION: USD/JPY        BUY 0.3%      SELL -0.1%

Our focus will be on the Core CPI release and we are going to look  for a surprise factor of 0.2%;  if the release number (core) increases to a 0.3% then we will BUY of USD/JPY.  If the CPI number decreases to -0.1% or less, we’ll SELL USD/JPY.  Historically even at a difference of 0.1%, market is likely to to exaggerate, therefore if either of our tradable releases is hit, there is about 80% of chance market will move 50 pips.


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Canada Core CPI m/m 10/16/09

by Henry Liu on October 15, 2009

7:00am (NY Time) CA Core CPI m/m   Forecast 0.2%   Previous 0.1%
ACTION: USD/CAD          BUY -0.1%       SELL 0.5%

Our tradable deviation for the Canadian Core CPI based on historical track record is 0.3%, therefore in order to trade this release successfully I’ll be looking for tradable releases of 0.5% or better to SELL USD/CAD or a -0.1% or worse to BUY USD/CAD. 


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