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We’ll be getting the Retail Sales figure out of New Zealand today, since Retail Sales is a direct reflection of the economy, this release is considered as an high impact release… Here’s the forecast:
6:45pm (NY Time) NZ Retail Sales Forecast 0.6% Previous -0.3%
ACTION: NZD/USD BUY 1.2% SELL 0.0%
4:45pm (NY Time) NZ Retail Sales Forecast 0.6% Previous 0.3%
ACTION: NZD/USD BUY 1.2% SELL 0.0%
Today we’ll trade the Retail Sales release out of New Zealand… Retail Sales release is the measurement of consumer spending in the retail sector, as it reflects the strength of the economy and the strength of consumer spending. We’ll be looking for a difference (or deviation) of at least 0.6% from the Forecasted number, therefore a positive 1.2% (or better) will be somewhat bullish signal for NZD and a 0.0% (or worse) will be a bearish signal for NZD. We’ll look for entries after the release in the direction of the signal, provided that the market shows initial confirmation in the direction of the release first, coupled with a decent retracement for proper risk to reward ratio, then we’ll make our entry.
3:00pm (NY Time) RBNZ Rate Decision Forecast 2.50% Previous 2.50%
ACTION: NZD/USD BUY 2.75% SELL Unchanged
RBNZ is expected to keep rates unchanged at the current level of 2.50% once again during today’s rate decision, as unanimously agreed by all economists surveyed, according to Bloomberg. As a matter of fact, there seems to be no fundamental reason supporting a rate hike for NZD in the near future, as the current inflationary target for NZD remains below the magical 2.0% level until perhaps 2011…
4:45pm (NY Time) NZ Retail Sales Forecast 0.5% Previous 1.1%
ACTION: NZD/USD BUY 1.1% SELL -0.1%
today we’ll focus on the Retail Sales release out of New Zealand… Retail Sales release is the measurement of consumer spending in the retail sector, as it reflects the strength of the economy and the strength of consumer spending. We’ll be looking for a difference of at least 0.6% from the Forecast, therefore a positive 1.1% will be somewhat bullish signal for NZD and a -0.1% will be a negative for NZD. We’ll look for entries after the release in the direction of the signal, provided that the market shows initial confirmation in the direction of the release first, coupled with a decent retracement for proper risk to reward ratio, then we’ll make our entry.
4:00pm (NY Time) RBNZ Rate Decision Forecast 2.50% Previous 2.50%
ACTION: NZD/USD BUY 2.75% SELL Unchanged
RBNZ is expected to leave rates unchanged at the current rate of 2.50%, as unanimously agreed by 11 economists surveyed, according to Bloomberg. As a matter of fact, New Zealand’s economic outlook is still bleak, although NZD has appreciated over 32% in the past 6 months benefited from the surge in risk appetite sentiment, but sentiment alone will not make RBNZ hike rates…
[flv:http://www.newsprofiteer.com/101209-nzdretail/101209-nzdretail.mp4 480 360]
5:45pm (NY Time) NZ Retail Sales Forecast 0.6% Previous -0.5%
ACTION: NZD/USD BUY 1.2% SELL -0.1%
This is the measurement of consumer spending in the retail sector, as it reflects the strength of the economy and the pace of the recovery. We’ll be looking for a deviation of at least 0.6% from the consensus, therefore a positive 1.2% will be bullish signal for NZD, or a -0.1% will be a negative signal for NZD. We’ll look for entries after the release in the direction of the signal, provided that the market shows initial confirmation in the direction of the release first, coupled with a decent retracement for proper risk to reward ratio, then we’ll make our entry.
5:00pm (NY Time) RBNZ Rate Decision Forecast 2.50% Previous 2.50%
ACTION: NZD/USD BUY 2.75% SELL 2.25%
RBNZ has been keeping its rate on hold for 2 rate decisions in a row as the last cut was back in April this year from 3.00% down to 2.50%. The fundamental outlook for NZ remains bleak as during the last rate decision Governor Bollard expressed a concern that rates could move lower.
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