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UK MPC Meeting Minutes Trading Plan 05/19/10

by Henry Liu on May 18, 2010

MPC Meeting Minutes is scheduled to be released today and since it is customary for BOE (Bank of England) not to release a statement along with its interest rate decision (2 weeks ago) where there were no changes in either rate decision and APF (Asset Purchasing Facility, UK’s quantitative easing program),  today will be the first time to actually get a glimpse into what actually took place during this meeting, here is the forecast:

4:30am NY Time UK MPC Meeting Minutes          Forecast 0-0-9     Previous 0-0-9
ACTION: GBP/USD           N/A


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We’ll be looking at the MPC Meeting Minutes today and since it is customary for BOE (Bank of England) not to release a statement along with its interest rate decision (2 weeks ago) if there was no change in both rate decision and APF (Asset Purchasing Facility, UK’s quantitative easing program),  today will be the first time to actually get a glimpse into what actually took place during this meeting, here is the forecast:


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UK MPC Meeting Minutes 3/17/2010

by Henry Liu on March 16, 2010

UK MPC Meeting Minutes 3/17/2010 ca1440 5:30am NY Time UK MPC Meeting Minutes          Forecast 0-0-9     Previous 0-0-9
ACTION: GBP/USD           N/A

MPC, Monetary Policy Committee, from Bank of England (BOE) will be releasing their meeting minutes on the Rate Decision meeting held two weeks ago along with the actual vote count over the rate decision and the Asset Purchasing Facility program.  If you recall, MPC once again left both intereste rate and APF unchanged, and immediate market reaction was to sell off GBP… (although this reaction could also be attributed to Trichet’s Press Conference, but GBP was already weak at this moment.)


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UK MPC Meeting Minutes 02/17/2010

by Henry Liu on February 16, 2010

4:30am NY Time UK MPC Meeting Minutes          Forecast 0-0-9     Previous 0-0-9
ACTION: GBP/USD           N/A

MPC, Monetary Policy Committee, from Bank of England (BOE) is releasing their meeting minutes over the Rate Decision meeting held about two weeks ago along with the actual vote count over the rate decision and the Asset Purchasing Facility program.  If you recall, MPC decided leave both interested rate and APF unchanged and they are undecided on whether or not the APF (quantitative easing program) should expire or extended for the time being.   But without a concrete answer on the APF program, market took that as a bearish message and sold off GBP.


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UK MPC Meeting Minutes 01/20/10

by Henry Liu on January 19, 2010

4:30am NY Time UK MPC Meeting Minutes          Forecast 0-0-9     Previous 0-0-9
ACTION: GBP/USD           N/A

MPC, Monetary Policy Committee, from Bank of England (BOE) will be releasing their meeting minutes over the Rate Decision meeting held 2 weeks ago along with the actual vote count over the rate decision and the APF program.  If you recall, MPC decided leave both interested rate and APF unchanged but BOE Official Sentance was particularly bullish during the last week and brought about expectations of the end of QE (Quantitative Easing) program.  This action provided an immediate short-term bullish rally for the British Pound as traders and speculators both are expecting a much more bullish stance from BOE.


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SNB Libor Rate Decision (Interest rate) 12/10/09

by Henry Liu on December 9, 2009

3:30am SNB Libor Rate Decision         Forecast 0.25%    Previous 0.25%
ACTION: USD/CHF                     SELL 0.50%

SNB (Swiss National Bank) is likely to keep the 3-month libor rate at the current level of 0.25%, as surveyed by reuters today.  As a matter of fact, most analysts agree that SNB is likely to keep rates unchanged until mid 2010.  As SNB is not in the habit of surprising the market, it is practically 100% that SNB will keep rates at 0.25%; however, just in the event that SNB does hike rates, we will SELL USD/CHF immediately.


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3:00pm (NY Time)  RBNZ Rate Decision   Forecast 2.50%    Previous 2.50%
ACTION: NZD/USD        BUY 2.75%     SELL Unchanged

RBNZ is expected to keep rates unchanged at the current level of 2.50% once again during today’s rate decision, as unanimously agreed by all economists surveyed, according to Bloomberg.  As a matter of fact, there seems to be no fundamental reason supporting a rate hike for NZD in the near future, as the current inflationary target for NZD remains below the magical 2.0% level until perhaps 2011…


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