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market sentiment

Forex News Analysis – RBA Interest Rate 12/05/11

by Henry Liu on December 5, 2011

Forex News Analysis   RBA Interest Rate 12/05/11 au stevens RBA (Reserve Bank of Australia) is expected to cut the borrowing costs to 4.25%, as per general market consensus…

Here´s the forecast for this news release:
10:30pm (NY Time) AU RBA Rate Decision Forecast 4.25% Previous 4.50%
ACTION: AUD/USD SELL 4.25% / BUY 4.50%

The Trade Plan
If RBA decides to keep rates unchanged, we will BUY AUDUSD as today’s decision is not based on unanimous consensus… If RBA cuts rates, we should also see a possibility to SELL as the market will be equally surprised.


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Forex Analysis For UK Retail Sales 11/17/11

by Henry Liu on November 16, 2011

Forex Analysis For UK Retail Sales 11/17/11 uk retail Today´s Retail Sales number from UK will be widely watched as this is a high impact yet very tradable report. Here is the forecast for this release:

4:30am (NY Time) Forecast -0.2% Previous 0.6%
ACTION: GBP/USD BUY 0.3% SELL -0.6%

The Trade Plan
The monthly retail sales report is a direct measurement of consumer activities at the retail level. A higher release is generally good for the economy, and better for it´s currency; a lower release is considered negative for the economy and not good for it´s currency.


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Forex Analysis For AU RBA Interest Rate 10/31/11

by Henry Liu on October 30, 2011

Forex Analysis For AU RBA Interest Rate 10/31/11 au stevens RBA (Reserve Bank of Australia) is expected to keep borrowing costs unchanged at 4.75%, as per general market consensus…

Here´s the forecast for this news release:
11:30pm (NY Time) AU RBA Rate Decision Forecast 4.75% Previous 4.75%
ACTION: AUD/USD SELL 4.50%

The Trade Plan
If RBA decides to keep rates unchanged, we may still see some volatility as the accompanied RBA statement may be market moving in light of recent event; however, if RBA cuts rates, we should jump in and SELL AUDUSD immediately as the market will be in a shock and start dumping the Aussie.


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Forex Analysis For CA BOC Interest Rate 10/25/11

by Henry Liu on October 24, 2011

Forex Analysis For CA BOC Interest Rate 10/25/11 cad carney The Bank of Canada (BOC) will announce their rate decision today at 9:00am sharp.

Here´s what analysts expect:
9:00am (NY Time) CA BOC Rate Decision Forecast 1.00% Previous 1.00%
ACTION: USD/CAD BUY 0.75% SELL 1.25%

The Trade Plan
Most analyst agree that the BOC will hold rates at 1.00%. I´ll be trading this release with a 0.25% deviation using Spike Trading method. In the event of a surprise hike it´s almost guaranteed that we´ll see strong market movement immediately after the release.


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Forex News Trading Strategy For UK Retail Sales 10/20/11 uk retail Today´s Retail Sales number from UK will be widely watched as this is a high impact yet very tradable report. Here is the forecast for this release:

4:30am (NY Time) Forecast 0.0% Previous -0.2%
ACTION: GBP/USD BUY 0.3% SELL -0.5%

The Trade Plan
The monthly retail sales report is a direct measurement of consumer activities at the retail level. A higher release is generally good for the economy, and better for it´s currency; a lower release is considered negative for the economy and not good for it´s currency.


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Forex News Trading Plan For AU RBA Interest Rate 10/03/11 GlennStevensFun 300x246 RBA (Reserve Bank of Australia) is expected to keep borrowing costs unchanged at 4.75%, as per the wide market consensus…

Here´s the forecast for this news release:
11:30pm (NY Time) AU RBA Rate Decision Forecast 4.75% Previous 4.75%
ACTION: AUD/USD BUY 5.00% / SELL 4.50%


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Forex News For UK Retail Sales September 15, 2011

by Henry Liu on September 14, 2011

Forex News For UK Retail Sales September 15, 2011 uk retail Today´s Retail Sales number from UK will be widely watched as this is a high impact yet very tradable report. Here is the forecast for this release:

4:30am (NY Time) Forecast -0.2% Previous 0.2%
ACTION: GBP/USD BUY 0.3% SELL -0.7%

The Trade Plan
The monthly retail sales report is a direct measurement of consumer activities at the retail level. A higher release is generally good for the economy, and better for it´s currency; a lower release is considered negative for the economy and not good for it´s currency.


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