Forex Trading Plan And Video For NZ CPI q/q 07/15/10

NZD

We’ll be trading the Consumer Price Index (CPI) figure out of New Zealand today. CPI is Inflation, therefore it is a very high impact release. Here’s the forecast:

6:45pm (NY Time) NZ CPI q/q Forecast 0.5% Previous 0.4%
ACTION: NZD/USD BUY 0.8% SELL 0.2%

Trade Plan For ECB Minimum Bid Rate Decision 07/08/10

EUR

7:45am (NY Time) EU ECB Rate Decision  Forecast 1.00%  Previous 1.00%
ACTION: EUR/USD       N/A

ECB (European Central Bank) is likely to once again leave its minimum bid rate at 1.00% or unchanged this month.  The majority of analysts agree to this sentiment as  according to ECB, it is will keep rates unchaged until 2011 or at the very least, towards the end of 2010 before tightening of their monetary policy.  As a matter of fact, according to Credit Suisse Overnight Swap Index, there is zero percent of change for ECB to hike rates during this meeting.

ECB Minimum Bid Rate Decision 06/10/10

7:45am (NY Time) EU ECB Rate Decision  Forecast 1.00%  Previous 1.00%
ACTION: EUR/USD       N/A

ECB (European Central Bank)  will probably once again leave its minimum bid rate at 1.00% or unchanged this month.  The majority of analysts agree to this sentiment as  according to ECB, it is will keep rates unchaged until 2011 or at the very least, towards the end of 2010 before even considering tightening of their monetary policy.

ECB Minimum Bid Rate Decision 04/08/10

ecb

7:45am (NY Time) EU ECB Rate Decision  Forecast 1.00%  Previous 1.00%
ACTION: EUR/USD       N/A

ECB (European Central Bank) is likely to once again leave its minimum bid rate at 1.00% or unchanged this month.  The majority of analysts agree to this sentiment as  according to ECB, it is will keep rates unchaged until 2011 or at the very least, towards the end of 2010 before tightening of their monetary policy.

ECB Minimum Bid Rate Decision 03/04/2010

7:45am (NY Time) EU ECB Rate Decision  Forecast 1.00%  Previous 1.00%
ACTION: EUR/USD       N/A

ECB (European Central Bank) is likely to once again leave its minimum bid rate at 1.00% or unchanged this month.  The majority of analysts agree to this sentiment as  according to ECB, it is will keep rates unchaged until 2011. 

Euro Zone is still plagued with the imbalanced economic recovery of its member countries, especially Greece, Spain, Portugal, and Italy… As a matter of fact, even with the Austerity Measures issued by Greece yesterday, the risk of a sovereign default is still possible.

ECB Minimum Bid Rate Decision 02/04/10

7:45am (NY Time) EU ECB Rate Decision  Forecast 1.00%  Previous 1.00%
ACTION: EUR/USD       N/A

ECB (European Central Bank) is expected to leave its official interest rate at 1.00% or unchanged once again this month.  The majority of analysts surveyed seems to agree to this sentiment as  ECB is likely to keep rates unchaged at the current level until 2011 as the Euro Zone is still plagued with the imbalanced economic recovery of its member countries, especially Greece… As a matter of fact, should Greece default from unable to fulfill its debt obligations, the entire Euro Zone will suffer greatly and EUR could depreciate even below parity against the USD.

New Zealand CPI q/q 01/19/10

4:45pm (NY Time) NZ CPI q/q    Forecast 0.0%   Previous 1.3%
ACTION: NZD/USD       BUY 1.1%      SELL 0.5% 

Our focus will be on the headline CPI number. If we get a better than expected number of 0.0% by 0.3%, we should be looking to BUY NZD/USD; if we get a lower -0.3%, then we’ll see NZD/USD move down.

ECB Minimum Bid Rate Decision 01/14/10

7:45am (NY Time) EU ECB Rate Decision  Forecast 1.00%  Previous 1.00%
ACTION: EUR/USD       N/A