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Job’s Market

Australia Employment Changes m/m 10/07/09

by Henry Liu on October 6, 2009

[flv:http://www.newsprofiteer.com/100709-auemployment/100709-auemployment.mp4 480 360]

8:30pm (NY Time) AU Employment Changes  Forecast -9.7  Previous -21.1K
ACTION: AUD/USD    BUY +15K   SELL -33K

This news release is similar to US NFP, but for Australia.  It is as a high impact report as the job’s market have a direct influence over the health of the economy.  If the actual release is better, it would be good for AUD and we would BUY AUD/USD, if the actual release is worse, it would be bad for AUD and we would SELL AUD/USD.


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Australia Employment Changes m/m 09/09/09

by Henry Liu on September 8, 2009

9:30pm (NY Time) AU Employment Changes  Forecast -14.7  Previous 32.2K
ACTION: AUD/USD    BUY +10K   SELL -38K

This news release is similar to US NFP, but for Australia.  It is considered as a high impact report.  If the release is better, which will be good for AUD, we would BUY AUD/USD, if the release is worse, which will be bad for AUD, we would SELL AUD/USD.


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US Nonfarm Payroll Changes 08/07/09

by Henry Liu on August 6, 2009

8:30am (NY Time) US NonFarm Payroll  Forecast -320K  Previous -467K
ACTION: USD/JPY           BUY -250K      SELL -400K

Our first focus will be on the Headline Number, which is expected to be at -320K.  Wait for the numbers to come out, but do not take the trade YET, even if we get -400K or -250K.  Now wait for the revision number, which is -467K.  Market is likely to overract with the Revision number, so if the revision does not conflict with the release, we get a better chance of this trade working out.


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Australia Employment Changes m/m 08/05/09

by Henry Liu on August 4, 2009

9:30pm (NY Time) AU Employment Changes  Forecast -17.8  Previous -21.4K
ACTION: AUD/USD    BUY +6K   SELL -40K

This news release is similar to US. Non-Farm payroll.  It is a high impact report.  If the number is better, which is good for Audi, we would BUY AUD/USD, if the number is worse, which is bad for Audi, we would SELL AUD/USD.

In order to BUY AUD/USD, we should be looking for a positive number of at least 6K; to SELL AUD/USD, we need a minimum of -40K or worse to be taking the trade safely.


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US ADP Non-Farm Employment Change 08/05/09

by Henry Liu on August 4, 2009

8:15am (NY Time) US ADP NFP Changes    Forecast -351K     Previous -473K
ACTION: USD/JPY           BUY -280K      SELL -420K

ADP is one of the largest payroll processing providers in the world, and every month it releases its version of Non-Farm Payroll numbers 2 days prior to the official Non-Farm Payroll release.  This release is about 80% accurate to NFP.  But the 20% of the time when it was inaccurate, its figures were totally off.  This is a good news item to watch out for  directional trade, if the numbers comes out at least 70K more or less of the Forecast -351K, then we will look to take a trade with the best looking currency pair.


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