 |
|
|
|||||||||||||||||||||
Australia Employment Change is similar to U.S. NFP (Nonfarm Payroll) and Canada Employment Change, this is an economic indicator for the Employment Changes in Australia, here´s the forecast:
7:30pm (NY Time) AU Employment Change Forecast 11.0K Previous -29.3K
AU Unemployment Rate Forecast 5.3% Previous 5.2%
ACTION: AUD/USD BUY 35.0K SELL -15.0K
We´ll be getting the U.S. Core Retail Sales (and Retail Sales) figure out tomorrow. As high impact news releases are concerned, Retail Sales make up about 2/3 of U.S. GDP (Gross Domestic Product); Core Retail Sales report excludes Auto sales which comprises 20% of total retail sales. Therefore, we are more focused on daily consumer spending on goods found in such places as department stores, gas stations, and restaurants.
We´ll be trading the UK Consumer Price Index (CPI) release at 4:30am NY Time today. We´ll be looking at the yearly release figure and the market could react with lots of volatility as CPI is the basic measurement of Inflation, therefore expect to see more exaggerated moves if we get a huge surprise release. Here is the forecast:
4:30am NY Time UK CPI y/y Forecast 3.6% Previous 4.2%
ACTION: GBP/USD BUY 4.2% / SELL 3.3%
ECB (European Central Bank) will be rendering its rate decision today, and it will have a pivotal short term impact in the Euro dollar. However, it is widely believed that ECB will keep rate unchanged at 1.00%… Here´s the forecast:
7:45am (NY Time) EU ECB Rate Decision Forecast 1.00% Previous 1.00%
ACTION: EUR/USD SELL 0.75%
Canada´s monthly GDP report will be released today. Here´s the trading forecast:
8:30am NY Time Canada GDP m/m Forecast 0.2% Previous 0.2%
ACTION: USD/CAD SELL 0.5% / BUY -0.1%
The Trade Plan
Let´s look to SELL USD/CAD if we get a 0.5% or better release, or we’ll BUY USDCAD on a -0.1% or worse release. With recent uncertainty in the general market, a strong surprise in this GDP number may be the catalyst we need to see more volatility in CAD, and perhaps set the tone for the rest of the year…
RBNZ (Reserve Bank of New Zealand) will be releasing its interest rate decision today and it is widely expected that Gov. Bollard will announce that No rate change today…
3:00pm (NY Time) RBNZ Rate Decision Forecast 2.50% Previous 2.50%
ACTION: NZDUSD BUY 2.75%
The Trade Plan
Current forecast from economists surveyed by Bloomberg agree that RBNZ is likely to leave the official rate at 2.5% during this meeting; however, in the unlikely event that Gov. Bollard surprises the market and hike rates to 2.75% or higher, we should see an immediate strong demand in the NZD which is a great opportunity to spike trade BUY NZD/USD.
Our plan to trade today’s CPI release out of Australia will be to look for opportunities for entry if we get a surprise in this release, here is the current forecast:
8:30pm AU CPI q/q Forecast 0.2% Previous 0.6%
ACTION: AUD/USD BUY 0.5% SELL -0.1%
Forex Market Review and Upcoming Forex Calendar (May 14 ~ 18, 2012) Politics in Europe were the focal point for the markets this week, as the election results in France and Greece added another ... (3,998)
Forex Trading Strategies #3 – The Correct Trend This is part 3 of my 7-part series on trading strategies. Click here for part 2: The Right Timing.
Forex Trading ... (2,144)
Forex Trading Strategies #4 – Support and Resistance This is the 4th article on my 7-part series of Forex Trading Strategies, Click here to read Part-3: The Correct ... (2,129)
US FOMC Meeting Minutes – May 16, 2012 – Forex Strategy
The entire financial world will be paying attention to the meeting minutes from the last FOMC meeting where the Federal Reserve ... (2,009)
Forex Trading Strategies #5 – Market Psychology This is a 7-part series on Forex Trading Strategies, Click here for my strategy #4: Support & Resistance
I have given a ... (1,983)
Forex Trading Strategies #2 – The Right Timing This is part 2 of my 7-part series on trading strategies. Click here for part 1: The Real Reason.
Forex Trading ... (1,962)
US Core CPI – May 15, 2012 – Forex Strategy
We´ll be trading US Core CPI m/m release tomorrow. CPI or Consumer Price Index, also known as the “true cost ... (1,896)
Forex Trading Strategies #1 – The Real Reason I've decided to share some of the thought process that I go through when deciding to take a trade, this is ... (1,736)