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fomc statement

The FOMC will be releasing a statement regarding future monetary direction along with the Federal Funds Rate decision, which is expected to be kept at the current level of 0.25%.

The focus of the market in the past few weeks has been on the speculation of further monetary easing by the Feds in the form of expanding its balance sheet by introducing another Quantitative Easing measure, or QE II (II being the second one).


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FOMC is going to release its short-term interest rate decision today and most analysts agree that FOMC will keep current rates unchanged especially after the series of worse than expected economic data during the past few weeks, including the disappointing NFP (Nonfarm Payroll) Employment last Friday.

Forex Trade Plan For Federal Funds Rate   08/10/10 fedfund0809 300x225

However, even though there is no chance for a surprise rate change, as predicted by the chart left, (0.0%~0.25% is about 100% probability) the real focus is still on the FOMC statements on future monetary policy.


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US FOMC Federal Funds Rate Analysis 06/23/10

by Henry Liu on June 22, 2010

US FOMC Federal Funds Rate Analysis 06/23/10 fedfundfuturejune10 FOMC is going to release its short-term interest rate decision today and most analysts agree that FOMC will keep current rates unchanged especially after the series of worse than expected economic data during the past few weeks, including but not limited to housing, employment, and retail sales.


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Trading Plan For RBNZ Rate Decision 06/09/10

by Henry Liu on June 8, 2010

RBNZ (Reserve Bank of New Zealand) will be releasing its interest rate decision today and it is widely expected that Gov. Bollard will hike rates today from the current level of 2.50% to 2.75%; here is the forecast:

 5:00pm (NY Time)  RBNZ Rate Decision   Forecast 2.75%    Previous 2.50%
ACTION: NZD/USD        BUY 3.00%     SELL 2.50%             

Trading Plan For RBNZ Rate Decision 06/09/10 225px Alan Bollard cropped MPS2008 06 05 10 14 57

According to analysts, RBNZ will be following RBA’s (Reserve Bank of Australia) and BOC’s (Bank of Canada) examples and start its rate tightening policy in today’s meeting.  Out of 15 analysts surveyed by Bloomberg, 13 have forecasted a hike of 25 basis point and 2 remained at unchanged…


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RBNZ Interest Rate Decision Trading Plan 04/28/10

by Henry Liu on April 27, 2010

RBNZ (Reserve Bank of New Zealand) will be releasing its interest rate decision today and it is widely expected that Gov. Bollard will keep rates at the current level of 2.50%; here is the forecast:

5:00pm (NY Time)  RBNZ Rate Decision   Forecast 2.50%    Previous 2.50%
ACTION: NZD/USD        BUY 2.75%             

RBNZ Interest Rate Decision Trading Plan 04/28/10 225px Alan Bollard cropped MPS2008 06 05 10 14 57

RBNZ Gov. Bollard


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US FOMC Federal Funds Rate Analysis – 04/28/10

by Henry Liu on April 27, 2010

US FOMC Federal Funds Rate Analysis   04/28/10 FedFundFutureApr10 FOMC is going to release its short-term interest rate decision today and most analysts agree that FOMC will keep current rates unchanged until at least Q3 or Q4 of this year, if not 2011, despite of recent positive economic releases in the Housing, Employment, and Retail sectors. 


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US FOMC Federal Funds Rate Decision 3/16/2010

by Henry Liu on March 15, 2010

US FOMC Federal Funds Rate Decision 3/16/2010 marchfff 2:15pm (NY Time) US FOMC Rate Decision Forecast 0.25% Previous 0.25%
ACTION: USD/JPY BUY 0.50% SELL <0.25%

FOMC is going to release its short-term interest rate decision and mosts analysts agree that FOMC will keep current rates unchanged until at least Q3 or Q4 of this year, if not 2011. Federal Reserve needs more economic data to justify a surprise hike in the interest rate, and judging from the past 3 months of NFP releases, we are not quite yet there. 


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