Forex Trading Plan For ECB Interest Rate Decision 09/02/10

trichet

ECB (European Central Bank) will be rendering its rate decision today, it is widely believed that ECB will keep current rate unchanged. Here’s the forecast:

7:45am (NY Time) EU ECB Rate Decision Forecast 1.00% Previous 1.00%
ACTION: EUR/USD BUY 1.25% SELL 0.75%

The Trade Plan
ECB rate decision comes in two part, the first one is the 7:45am rate announcement followed by the 8:30am Press Conference where ECB chief Trichet issues the official statement on this rate decision. Since it is extremely unlikely to get a surprise from ECB, there is usually no volatility following this release, we should focus on the actual Trichet’s speech in 45 minutes.

Forex Strategy For US Existing Home Sales 08/24/10

USA

US Existing Home Sales is expected to decline from previous month as current market situation is adding more pressure to the housing sector. Here’s forecast:

Existing Home Sales Forecast 4.70M Previous 5.37M
ACTION: USD/JPY BUY 5.10M SELL 4.30M

The Trade Plan
Because the Housing sector is one of the most important news events out of the US, this release will certainly cause some volatility in the market, especially if our tradable figures (+/- 400K) were hit. With the focus of the nation, and of the world, on the status of U.S. housing sector, this release may bring about a strong sentiment of risk appetite/aversion if our BUY/SELL trigger is hit…

Forex Video & Analysis For U.S. Nonfarm Payroll Employment Change (NFP) 08/06/10

employment

We’ll be trading the US NFP (Nonfarm Payroll) Employment Changes, it is the most volatile news release for the week as traders and their cousins all sit around in front of their PCs preparing to jump in… Here’s the forecast:

8:30am (NY Time) US NFP Forecast -63K Previous -125K
Unemployment Rate Forecast 9.6% Previous 9.5%
ACTION: USD/JPY BUY +1K SELL -140K

Forex Trading Plan For ECB Interest Rate Decision 08/05/10

ecb

ECB (European Central Bank) will be rendering its rate decision today, it is widely believed that ECB will keep current rate unchanged. Here’s the forecast:

7:45am (NY Time) EU ECB Rate Decision Forecast 1.00% Previous 1.00%
ACTION: EUR/USD N/A

The Trade Plan
ECB rate decision comes in two part, the first one is the 7:45am rate announcement followed by the 8:30am Press Conference where ECB chief Trichet issues the official statement on this rate decision. Since it is extremely unlikely to get a surprise from ECB, there is usually no volatility following this release, we should focus on the actual Trichet’s speech in 45 minutes.

Forex Analysis & Video For U.S. Existing Home Sales 07/22/10

USHOME

The plan for Existing Home Sales release from U.S. will be the typical retracement trading method, where we’ll wait for the release and then wait for a decent retracement before getting into a trade. Here is the forecast for this release:

Existing Home Sales Forecast 5.18M Previous 5.66M
ACTION: USD/JPY BUY 5.60M SELL 4.80M

Trade Plan For ECB Minimum Bid Rate Decision 07/08/10

EUR

7:45am (NY Time) EU ECB Rate Decision  Forecast 1.00%  Previous 1.00%
ACTION: EUR/USD       N/A

ECB (European Central Bank) is likely to once again leave its minimum bid rate at 1.00% or unchanged this month.  The majority of analysts agree to this sentiment as  according to ECB, it is will keep rates unchaged until 2011 or at the very least, towards the end of 2010 before tightening of their monetary policy.  As a matter of fact, according to Credit Suisse Overnight Swap Index, there is zero percent of change for ECB to hike rates during this meeting.

Forex Trading Strategy For Nonfarm Payroll Employment Change (NFP) 07/02/10

nonfarm_chart

8:30am (NY Time) US NFP      Forecast -110K       Previous 431K
Unemployment Rate                   Forecast 9.8%        Previous 9.7%
ACTION: USD/JPY                        BUY -30K                 SELL -180K

We’ll be focusing on the NFP release today, which is expected at -110K as median forecast figure taken from different surveys, and the previous release figure was at +431K.  If you remember what took place during last NFP release, market reacted with risk aversion sentiment as the actual figure missed expectation by 90K, causing stronger demand for safe-haven currencies such as the USD and JPY across the board.