by Henry Liu on December 9, 2009
3:30am SNB Libor Rate Decision Forecast 0.25% Previous 0.25%
ACTION: USD/CHF SELL 0.50%
SNB (Swiss National Bank) is likely to keep the 3-month libor rate at the current level of 0.25%, as surveyed by reuters today. As a matter of fact, most analysts agree that SNB is likely to keep rates unchanged until mid 2010. As SNB is not in the habit of surprising the market, it is practically 100% that SNB will keep rates at 0.25%; however, just in the event that SNB does hike rates, we will SELL USD/CHF immediately.
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by Henry Liu on November 30, 2009
Last week was indeed a volatile week due to the low liquidity. And as I have warned in my last Weekly Outlook report about the excessive market movement from my previous experiences over the U.S. Thanksgiving holidays, this Thanksgiving didn’t disappoint and certainly lived up to its reputation – and then some…
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by Henry Liu on October 30, 2009
Hi everyone,
I just wanted to say that with today’s unexpected turn of events from the U.S. GDP release, market has turned around from last 3 days of risk aversion concerns to an all out risk appetite and boosted gains of every major currency against the USD… This created a strong reversal on the GBP as it blew through several resistance points… and boy, did I ever hear about it from my subscribers! I spent almost half-day just replying emails to traders who just totally ignored the US GDP release and went short on Sterling. I got hate mails, critiques, and tons of emails from concerned subscribers, which I must say that I’m always happy to hear from…
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