by Henry Liu on November 2, 2010
FOMC will be releasing a statement along with the Federal Funds rate decision today, and it is very likely that the long anticipated QE 2, or second round of quantitative easing will be announced today.
Out of 56 economists surveyed by Bloomberg, 53 stated that an announcement of sort on QE will take place tomorrow, while 3 disagreed. However, don’t be fooled by the majority rules in this case, because this is where it ends… Out of the 53 that agreed, only 29 believed that the Feds will announce a 500 Billion initial purchase, while 7 predicted a modest announcement of 50 to 100 billion of monthly purchases, with the rest (17) remain undecided.
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by Henry Liu on September 20, 2010
The FOMC will be releasing a statement regarding future monetary direction along with the Federal Funds Rate decision, which is expected to be kept at the current level of 0.25%.
The focus of the market in the past few weeks has been on the speculation of further monetary easing by the Feds in the form of expanding its balance sheet by introducing another Quantitative Easing measure, or QE II (II being the second one).
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by Henry Liu on August 10, 2010
FOMC is going to release its short-term interest rate decision today and most analysts agree that FOMC will keep current rates unchanged especially after the series of worse than expected economic data during the past few weeks, including the disappointing NFP (Nonfarm Payroll) Employment last Friday.
However, even though there is no chance for a surprise rate change, as predicted by the chart left, (0.0%~0.25% is about 100% probability) the real focus is still on the FOMC statements on future monetary policy.
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by Henry Liu on June 22, 2010
FOMC is going to release its short-term interest rate decision today and most analysts agree that FOMC will keep current rates unchanged especially after the series of worse than expected economic data during the past few weeks, including but not limited to housing, employment, and retail sales.
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by Henry Liu on April 27, 2010
FOMC is going to release its short-term interest rate decision today and most analysts agree that FOMC will keep current rates unchanged until at least Q3 or Q4 of this year, if not 2011, despite of recent positive economic releases in the Housing, Employment, and Retail sectors.
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by Henry Liu on March 15, 2010
2:15pm (NY Time) US FOMC Rate Decision Forecast 0.25% Previous 0.25%
ACTION: USD/JPY BUY 0.50% SELL <0.25%
FOMC is going to release its short-term interest rate decision and mosts analysts agree that FOMC will keep current rates unchanged until at least Q3 or Q4 of this year, if not 2011. Federal Reserve needs more economic data to justify a surprise hike in the interest rate, and judging from the past 3 months of NFP releases, we are not quite yet there.
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by Henry Liu on January 26, 2010
3:00pm (NY Time) RBNZ Rate Decision Forecast 2.50% Previous 2.50%
ACTION: NZD/USD BUY 2.75% SELL Unchanged
RBNZ is once again expected to keep rates unchanged at the current level of 2.50% in this meeting, as unanimously agreed by all economists surveyed from different news companies. As a matter of fact, aside from the bullish statement during last RBNZ rate decision from Governor Bollard, there seems to be no other fundamental reasons supporting a rate hike for NZD in the near future.
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