Our plan to trade today’s CPI release out of Australia will be to look for opportunities for entry if we get a surprise in this release, here is the current forecast:
8:30pm AU CPI q/q Forecast 0.2% Previous 0.6%
ACTION: AUD/USD BUY 0.5% SELL -0.1%
AUD
Australia GDP is a quarterly release similar to the U.S. Advanced GDP or the UK Pre-lim release, but usually there is only one release per quarter. Since this is a quarterly release, it is a high impact release that may change the short term trend of AUD.
Here is the forecast:
7:30pm (NY Time) AU GDP q/q Forecast 1.2% Previous 1.2%
ACTION: AUD/USD BUY 1.5% SELL 0.9%
RBA (Reserve Bank of Australia) is expected to cut the borrowing costs to 4.25%, as per general market consensus…
Here´s the forecast for this news release:
10:30pm (NY Time) AU RBA Rate Decision Forecast 4.25% Previous 4.50%
ACTION: AUD/USD SELL 4.25% / BUY 4.50%
The Trade Plan
If RBA decides to keep rates unchanged, we will BUY AUDUSD as today’s decision is not based on unanimous consensus… If RBA cuts rates, we should also see a possibility to SELL as the market will be equally surprised.
RBA (Reserve Bank of Australia) is expected to keep borrowing costs unchanged at 4.75%, as per general market consensus…
Here´s the forecast for this news release:
11:30pm (NY Time) AU RBA Rate Decision Forecast 4.75% Previous 4.75%
ACTION: AUD/USD SELL 4.50%
The Trade Plan
If RBA decides to keep rates unchanged, we may still see some volatility as the accompanied RBA statement may be market moving in light of recent event; however, if RBA cuts rates, we should jump in and SELL AUDUSD immediately as the market will be in a shock and start dumping the Aussie.
Our plan to trade today’s CPI release out of Australia will be to look for opportunities for entry if we get a surprise in this release, here is the current forecast:
8:30pm AU CPI q/q Forecast 0.7% Previous 0.9%
ACTION: AUD/USD BUY 1.0% SELL 0.4%
RBA (Reserve Bank of Australia) is expected to keep borrowing costs unchanged at 4.75%, as per the wide market consensus…
Here´s the forecast for this news release:
11:30pm (NY Time) AU RBA Rate Decision Forecast 4.75% Previous 4.75%
ACTION: AUD/USD BUY 5.00% / SELL 4.50%
Australia Employment Change is similar to U.S. NFP (Nonfarm Payroll) and Canada Employment Change, this is an economic indicator for the Employment Changes in Australia, here´s the forecast:
9:30pm (NY Time) AU Employment Change Forecast 10.0K Previous -0.1K
AU Unemployment Rate Forecast 5.1% Previous 5.1%
ACTION: AUD/USD BUY 35.0K SELL -15.0K
