by Henry Liu on March 1, 2010
7:30pm (NY Time) AU GDP q/q Forecast 0.9% Previous 0.2%
ACTION: AUD/USD BUY 1.2% SELL 0.6%
We’ll be looking for a trading opportunity from the quarterly GDP release today out of Australia, which is expected by analysts expectation from Bloomberg to be at 0.9%. As Australia’s GDP number has maintained on the positive side for the last couple of quarters, this release number will probably not have a trend changing impact on the AUD unless it’s a negative number or flat (0.0%) release.
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by Henry Liu on March 1, 2010
9:00am (NY Time) CA BOC Rate Decision Forecast 0.25% Previous 0.25%
ACTION: USD/CAD Depend on Market Condition
BOC (Bank of Canada) will be issuing its Overnight Rate decisions once again today and this meeting will be watched by traders and speculators since interest rate policy serves as a tool to curb inflation and maintain price stability, making this news event probably the most important event for the day.
This is what I wrote for the last two BOC rate decision, I think the situation still remains mostly unchanged:
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by Henry Liu on March 1, 2010
10:30pm (NY Time) AU RBA Rate Decision Forecast 4.00% Previous 3.75%
ACTION: AUD/USD SELL 3.75% AUD/USD
Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) is going to release its official cash rate decision today and Majority of economists expected a pause in today’s rate decision following the surprise pause last rate decision.
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by Henry Liu on March 1, 2010
7:30pm NY Time AU Retail Sales Forecast 0.8% Previous -0.7%
ACTION: BUY 1.4% SELL 0.2% AUD/USD
We’ll be looking for a possible again today on the Australian Retail Sales m/m release and we are looking for a minimum deviation of 0.6% from the forecast release of 1.0%. If we get a 1.6% or 0.4%, we’d get in either on a LONG or SHORT trade depending on the release with a high probability of seeing the market move over 50 pips in the next 2 hours.
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by Henry Liu on March 1, 2010
10:00am NY Time US ISM Manufacturing PMI Forecast 57.7 Previous 58.4
ACTION: BUY 60.0 SELL 55.0 USD/JPY
We’ll be looking for a possibility to trade the ISM Manufacturing PMI today during the New York Trading session, and our tradable deviation for a safe trade is 2.5 points either way. In the event we get a better than expected release, this could once again fuel the recent bullish rally of USD; however, if the release is negative, below or close to the medium 50 level, we could see some minor consolidation or even a very tightly traded market… Since this is a leading indicator, investors pay more attention to this release for signs of market direction this month and possibly trend changes… And with the NFP scheduled on Friday, this release might have more impact than usual should we get a huge surprise.
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by Henry Liu on March 1, 2010
8:30am NY Time Canada GDP m/m Forecast 0.4% Previous 0.4%
ACTION: USD/CAD BUY 0.1% SELL 0.7%
We’ll be focusing on a possible trade from the Canadian GDP release (m/m) today, and GDP is defined (by wikipedia) as:
“the market value of all final goods and services produced within a country in a given period of time. It is also considered the sum of value added at every stage of production of all final goods and services produced within a country in a given period of time.”
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by Henry Liu on March 1, 2010
4:30am (NY Time) UK Manufacturing PMI Forecast 56.3 Previous 56.7
ACTION: GBP/USD BUY 58.3 SELL 54.3
We’ll be looking forward to trade the Manufacturing PMI number from UK today and it’s forecasted at 56.3; UK Manufacturing PMI’s medium point is at 50, therefore this forecast is considered as a positive release (above the 50 level means expansion in the manufacturing sector).
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