US Core CPI m/m 02/19/2010

Posted by Henry Liu on February 18, 2010 under Forex News Trade, US Core CPI m/m, USA | Be the First to Comment

8:30am (NY Time) US Core CPI m/m  Forecast 0.2%  Previous 0.1%
ACTION: USD/JPY        BUY 0.4%      SELL 0.0%

We’ll be focusing on the Core CPI release today and our minimum tradable deviation deviation is 0.2%;  if the release number (core) increases to a minimum 0.4% then we will BUY USD (either SELL EUR/USD or BUY USD/JPY).  If the CPI number stays flat or decreases to 0.0% or less, we’ll SELL USD (BUY EUR/USD or SELL USD/JPY).  Historically even at a difference of 0.1%, market is likely to to exaggerate its move, therefore if either of our tradable releases is hit, there is about 80% of chance market will move 50 pips. 

US Core CPI m/m 01/15/10

Posted by Henry Liu on January 14, 2010 under Forex News Trade, US Core CPI m/m, USA | 2 Comments to Read

8:30am (NY Time) US Core CPI m/m  Forecast 0.1%  Previous 0.1%
ACTION: USD/JPY        BUY 0.3%      SELL -0.1%

We’ll be trading the Core CPI release today and our surprise factor (or deviation) is 0.2%;  if the release number (core) increases to a minimum 0.3% then we will BUY USD (either SELL EUR/USD or BUY USD/JPY).  If the CPI number decreases to -0.1% or less, we’ll SELL USD (BUY EUR/USD or SELL USD/JPY).  Historically even at a difference of 0.1%, market islikely to to exaggerate its move, therefore if either of our tradable releases is hit, there is about 80% of chance market will move 50 pips.  If you remember what I wrote last time, this is exactly the same consensus expectation as the market is looking at a low yet steady growth in U.S. Inflation for quite some time now…

US Core CPI m/m 12/16/09

Posted by Henry Liu on December 15, 2009 under Forex News Trade, US Core CPI m/m, USA | Be the First to Comment

8:30am (NY Time) US Core CPI m/m  Forecast 0.1%  Previous 0.2%
ACTION: USD/JPY        BUY 0.3%      SELL -0.1%

We’ll be looking to trade Core CPI release and we are going to look  for a surprise factor of 0.2%;  if the release number (core) increases to a 0.3% then we will BUY of USD/JPY.  If the CPI number decreases to -0.1% or less, we’ll SELL USD/JPY.  Historically even at a difference of 0.1%, market is likely to to exaggerate, therefore if either of our tradable releases is hit, there is about 80% of chance market will move 50 pips.  If you remember what I wrote last time, this is exactly the same consensus expectation as the market is looking at a low yet steady growth in U.S. Inflation for quite some time now…

US Core CPI m/m 11/18/09

Posted by Henry Liu on November 17, 2009 under Forex News Trade, US Core CPI m/m, USA | 5 Comments to Read

8:30am (NY Time) US Core CPI m/m  Forecast 0.1%  Previous 0.2%
ACTION: USD/JPY        BUY 0.3%      SELL -0.1%

Our focus will be on the Core CPI release and we are going to look  for a surprise factor of 0.2%;  if the release number (core) increases to a 0.3% then we will BUY of USD/JPY.  If the CPI number decreases to -0.1% or less, we’ll SELL USD/JPY.  Historically even at a difference of 0.1%, market is likely to to exaggerate, therefore if either of our tradable releases is hit, there is about 80% of chance market will move 50 pips.

US CPI m/m 10/15/09

Posted by Henry Liu on October 14, 2009 under Forex News Trade, US Core CPI m/m, USA | 5 Comments to Read

8:30am (NY Time) US Core CPI m/m  Forecast 0.1%  Previous 0.1%
ACTION: USD/JPY        BUY 0.3%      SELL -0.1%

We are going to look  for a surprise factor of 0.2%; if the CPI number (core) increases to a release at 0.3% then we will BUY of USD/JPY.  If the CPI number decreases to -0.1% or less, we’ll SELL USD/JPY.  Historically even at a difference of 0.1%, market is likely to to exaggerate, therefore if either of our tradable releases is hit, there is about 80% of chance market will move 50 pips.

US Core CPI m/m 09/16/09

Posted by Henry Liu on September 15, 2009 under Forex News Trade, US Core CPI m/m, USA | Be the First to Comment

8:30am (NY Time) US Core CPI m/m  Forecast 0.1%  Previous 0.1%
ACTION: USD/JPY        BUY 0.3%      SELL -0.1%

DEFINITION:

US Core CPI m/m 08/14/09

Posted by Henry Liu on August 13, 2009 under Forex News Trade, US Core CPI m/m, USA | 2 Comments to Read

8:30am (NY Time) US Core CPI m/m  Forecast 0.1%   Previous 0.2%
ACTION: USD/JPY     BUY 0.3%      SELL -0.1%

CPI, Consumer Price Index, is a statistical estimate of the movement of the prices of goods and services bought for consumption purposes by households. Its computation uses price data collected for a sample of goods and services from a sample of sales outlets in a sample of locations for a sample of times and estimates of the shares of the different expenditures in the total covered by the index which are usually based upon expenditure data obtained for sampled periods from a sample of households wikipedia).  It is also known as the “True Cost of Living”.

USD Core CPI m/m Inflation – 07/15/2009

Posted by Henry Liu on July 15, 2009 under US Core CPI m/m | Be the First to Comment

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