Canada Employment Change 02/05/10

Posted by Henry Liu on February 4, 2010 under CAD Employment Change, Canada, Forex News Trade | Be the First to Comment

7:00am CA Employment Change     Forecast 15.2K    Previous -2.6K       (Unemployment Rate     8.5%)
ACTION:             BUY -15K       SELL 45K            USD/CAD

We’ll be focusing on the Canadian Employment Change report today, which is going to be the first of two high impact news releases for this Friday, with NFP being the second event scheduled just 90 minutes later.  We are looking for a surprise factor (trigger, deviation) of 30K as usual, therefore if we get a positive 45K of release, we’ll look to SELL USD/CAD (or even EUR/CAD); on the other hand, if we get a -15K of release, we’ll look to BUY the USD/CAD pair.

Canada Employment Changes 01/08/10

Posted by Henry Liu on January 7, 2010 under CAD Employment Change, Canada, Forex News Trade | Be the First to Comment

7:00am CA Employment Change     Forecast 20.2K    Previous 79.1K       (Unemployment Rate     8.5%)
ACTION:             BUY -10K       SELL 50K            USD/CAD

We’ll be trading the Canadian Employment Changes today, which is going to be the first of two high impact news releases for this Friday, with NFP being the second event scheduled just 90 minutes later.  We are looking for a surprise factor (trigger, deviation) of 30K, therefore if we get a positive 50K of release, we’ll look to SELL USD/CAD; on the other hand, if we get a -20K of release, we’ll look to BUY the USD/CAD pair. 

Canada Employment Changes 12/04/09

Posted by Henry Liu on December 3, 2009 under CAD Employment Change, Canada, Forex News Trade | 2 Comments to Read

7:00am NY Time CA Employment Changes      Forecast 15K    Previous -43.2K
ACTION: USD/CAD         SELL 45K     BUY -15K

We’ll focus on the Canadian Employment Changes event, which is going to be the first of two high impact news releases for this Friday, with NFP being the second event scheduled just 90 minutes later.  We are looking for a surprise factor (trigger, deviation) of 30K, therefore if we get a positive 45K of release, we’ll look to SELL USD/CAD; on the other hand, if we get a -15K of release, we’ll look to BUY the USD/CAD pair. 

Canada Employment Changes 11/06/09

Posted by Henry Liu on November 5, 2009 under CAD Employment Change, Canada, Forex News Trade | Be the First to Comment

7:00am NY Time CA Employment Changes      Forecast 10K    Previous 30.6K
ACTION: USD/CAD         SELL 40K     BUY -20K

Today’s high impact news event aside from the NFP will be the Canadian Employment Changes event, which is going to be our focus today.  We are looking for a surprise factor (trigger, deviation) of 30K, therefore if we get a positive 40K of release, we’ll look to SELL USD/CAD; on the other hand, if we get a -20K of release, we’ll look to BUY the USD/CAD pair.  With NFP coming up in about 90 minutes we have to take smaller profit target and plan our exits preferrably before the actual NFP release.

Canada Employment Changes m/m 10/09/09

Posted by Henry Liu on October 8, 2009 under CAD Employment Change, Canada, Forex News Trade | Be the First to Comment

7:00am (NY Time) CA Employment Change   Forecast 5.0K  Previous 27.1K
ACTION: USD/CAD       SELL +30K     BUY -20K

We will focus on the Canadian Employment Changes today, which is expected at +5.0K this month. If we get a surprise release of of at least 25K, making it at +30k or -20K, we can conservatively expect the market to move 40 pips within the hour, based on a historical probability of about 80% of chance.

Even if our BUY/SELL figure is hit, it is still important to keep an eye on the Unemployment Rate, which is expected at 8.8%.  If it does not conflict with the Employment Release, then we’ll follow our trade plan, and in the event of a conflict, we will stay out of the market.

Canada Employment Changes m/m 09/04/09

Posted by Henry Liu on September 3, 2009 under CAD Employment Change, Canada, Forex News Trade | Read the First Comment

7:00am (NY Time) CA Employment Change   Forecast -12.4K  Previous -44.5K
ACTION: USD/CAD       SELL +15K     BUY -35K

Canadian Employment Change is expected at -12.4K this month. If we get a surprise of at least 23K, making it at -35k or +15K, then the market will most likely move 40 pips within the hour, with about an 86% of chance.

If our BUY/SELL figure is hit.  However, it is important to keep an eye also on the Unemployment Rate, which is expected at 8.7%, and if it does not conflict with the Employment Release, then we’ll follow our trade plan.  In the event of a conflict, it will be a no trade.

Canada Employment Changes m/m 08/07/09

Posted by Henry Liu on August 6, 2009 under CAD Employment Change, Canada, Forex News Trade | Read the First Comment

7:00am (NY Time) CA Employment Change   Forecast -19K  Previous -7.4K
ACTION: USD/CAD       SELL +6K    BUY -42K

Canada’s Employment Change is expected at -19.0K this month. If we get a surprise of at least 23K, making it at -42k or +6K, then the market will most likely move 40 pips within the hour.

There is an 86% of chance for USD/CAD to move 40 pips if our BUY/SELL figure is hit.  However, it is important to keep an eye also on the Unemployment Rate, which is expected at 8.8%, and if it does not conflict with the Employment Release, then we’ll follow our trade plan.  In the event of a conflict, it will be a no trade.

CAD Employment Change – 06/05/09

Posted by Henry Liu on June 5, 2009 under CAD Employment Change, Canada | Be the First to Comment

 

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