Forex Trade Plan For CA Core Retail Sales 08/24/10

CAD

We’re getting the Core Retail Sales release from Canada today, and it is a high impact release which may change the short term trend of the market for CAD. Let’s look at the forecast:

Core Retail Sales Forecast 0.1% Previous -0.1%
ACTION: USD/CAD BUY -0.5% SELL 0.7%

The Trade Plan
I’m going to be looking for a deviation of 0.6% for this news. Since the forecast is at +0.1%, if we get a -0.5% or worse, it would be negative for the CAD and we’ll be looking to BUY USD/CAD; however, if the opposite is true, or a 0.7% of actual release, I’ll be looking to SELL USD/CAD.

Canada Core Retail Sales Trading Strategy & Video 07/22/10

CAD

We’re also getting the Core Retail Sales release from Canada today, let’s look at the forecast:

Core Retail Sales Forecast 0.5% Previous -1.2%
ACTION: USD/CAD BUY -0.1% SELL 1.1%

The Trade Plan
I’m going to be looking for a deviation of 0.6% for this news. Since the forecast is at +0.5%, if we get a -0.1% or worse, it would be negative for the CAD and we’ll be looking to BUY USD/CAD; however, if the opposite is true, or a 1.1% of actual release, I’ll be looking to SELL USD/CAD.

Trading Plan For Canada Retail Sales 06/23/10

CAD

We’re also getting  the Core Retail Sales release from Canada, let’s look at the forecast for this news:

8:30am NY Time Core Retail Sales    Forecast 0.0%    Previous 1.7%
ACTION: USD/CAD        BUY -0.6%         SELL 0.6%

We’ll be focusing on the Core Retail Sales release and not the headline Retail Sales release; Retail Sales releases from Canada is a month on month release, and basically it’s a measurement of the activities at the retail level of Canada, and the Core release is the same Retail Sales but excluding most volatile components, Automotive Components, which makes up about 25% and it varies seasonly. A better release generally means more consumer spending, which leads to better economy, thus better for its currency.  And the CORE reading provides a far more accurate look of the actual economy.

Trading Canadian Core Retail Sales 05/21/10…

CAD

We’re also getting  the Core Retail Sales release from Canada today, and with the Core CPI being released just about 90 minutes earlier, it’s important to take the context of the market into consideration before planning for this trade.  If we are trading at a support level on a better than expected CPI release, it is possible that market may not move much from this news even if our tradable deviation is hit… With that said, let’s look at the forecast for this news:

Canada Core Retail Sales Trading Strategy 04/23/10

CAD

Core Retail Sales is another high impact release from Canada today, and with the Core CPI being released just about 90 minutes earlier, it’s important to take the context of the market into consideration before planning for this trade.  If we are trading at a support level on a better than expected CPI release, it is possible that market may not move much from this news even if our tradable deviation is hit… With that said, let’s look at the forecast for this news:

Canada Core Retail Sales 03/19/2010

8:30am NY Time Core Retail Sales    Forecast 0.5%    Previous 0.5%
ACTION: USD/CAD        BUY -0.1%         SELL 1.1%

We’ll be focusing on the Canadian Core Retail Sales release today and not the headline Retail Sales release; the core release has a forecast expectation of 0.5% with a previous release at 0.4%.  Core Retail Sales release is a month on month release, and basically it’s a measurement of the activities at the retail level of Canada, but excluding most volatile components, Automobile Sales Components, which makes up about 25% of the Headline or Retail Sales release and varies seasonly. A better release generally means more consumer spending, which leads to better economy, thus better for its currency.  And the CORE reading provides a far more accurate look of the actual economy, especially with the recent recalls by Toyota and Honda.

Canada Retail Sales m/m 02/19/2010

8:30am NY Time Core Retail Sales    Forecast 0.4%    Previous 0.0%
ACTION: USD/CAD        BUY -0.2%         SELL 1.0%

We’ll be looking to trade the Core Retail Sales release and not the headline release today; the core release as a forecast expectation of 0.4% with a previous release at 0.0%.  Core Retail Sales release is a month on month release, and basically it’s a measurement of the activities at the retail level of Canada, excluding most volatile Automobile Sales Components, which makes up about 25% of the Headline or Retail Sales release. A better release generally means more consumer spending, which leads to better economy, thus better for its currency.  And of course the CORE reading provides a far more accurate look of the actual economy as the automotive component could fluctuate per season.