Australia CPI q/q 01/26/10

Posted by Henry Liu on January 25, 2010 under AUD CPI q/q, Australia, Forex News Trade | 2 Comments to Read

7:30pm AU CPI q/q         Forecast 0.4%      Previous 1.0%
ACTION: AUD/USD        BUY 0.7%      SELL 0.0%

We’ll be lookign to trade the quarterly CPI release out of Australia.  As reflected in recent RBA rate statements, Australia is facing  rise in inflation, and this number could surprise to the upside.  RBA hiked rates last few rate decisions, and with a surprise better than expected release, we could have justification for further rate hike. 

Australia CPI q/q 10/27/09

Posted by Henry Liu on October 26, 2009 under AUD CPI q/q, Australia, Forex News Trade | Be the First to Comment

8:30pm AU CPI q/q         Forecast 0.9%      Previous 0.8%
ACTION: AUD/USD        BUY 1.2%      SELL 0.6%

Our focus will be on the quarterly CPI release out of Australia.  As stated in recent RBA announcements, Australia is facing possible rise in inflation, and this number could surprise to the upside.  RBA hiked rates a few weeks ago and surprised the market, this will be the justification for that rate  hike.  Therefore, If we get a better than expected CPI data, we should see an instant appreciation of AUD by at least of 40 pips within the hour, but if we get a worse than expected number, AUD should drop as traders will be confused over RBA’s decision, and we should expect market to consolidate.  Of course, the deviation that I am looking for must be at least 0.3%, or I will skip the trade.

Australia CPI q/q – Consumer Price Index 07/21/09

Posted by Henry Liu on July 20, 2009 under AUD CPI q/q, Australia | Read the First Comment

9:30pm(NY Time)   AU CPI q/q   Forecast 0.5%   Previous 0.1%
ACTION:   BUY 0.8%   SELL 0.2%   AUD/USD
             

If we get a better than expected CPI data, we should see an instant appreciation of AUD by at least of 35 pips within the hour, but if we get a worse than expected number, AUD should drop about 35 pips or so. I am looking for a deviation of at least 0.3% on the quarterly GDP, or I will skip the trade.

CPI Definition