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ECB Minimum Bid Rate Decision 08/06/09

by Henry Liu on August 5, 2009

7:45am (NY Time) EU ECB Rate Decision  Forecast 1.00%  Previous 1.00%
ACTION: EUR/USD       N/A

ECB (European Central Bank) is once again to leave rates at an unchanged level of 1.00%.  It is very unlikely for ECB to surprise the market and cut current rate or even hike the rate by 0.25%.  As numerous of ECB officials stated recently that the current rate is appropriate, the expectation for ECB rates among analysts is pretty much neutral.

The important event will be the press conference at 8:30am, or 45 minutes after this release.  ECB Chairman Trichet will deliver a written statement and then host a lengthy Q&A session.  Market is more likely to be volatile during the press conference than the actual rate decision, as Trichet sometimes may drop hints on future ECB monetary policy direction; therefore, I’d pretty much skip this news and just pay attention to the press conference itself.

[flv:http://www.newsprofiteer.com/080609-ecbrate/080609-ecbrate.mp4 480 360]

UPDATE: No trade as the rate was kept unchanged.  Decided to wait for Trichet press conference for better direction.

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