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Forex Trading Strategy For Canada GDP m/m 04/30/10

by Henry Liu on April 29, 2010

We’ll be getting both GDP release from Canada and U.S.  I would be more interested in the U.S. release as it is the Adv. GDP quarterly release and it has more potential of moving the market than the Canada GDP m/m release… It is important that you only concentrate on one of these releases instead of both, as the market will be very tough to read with one release, let along 2 releases together.

Here is the forecast for Canada GDP

8:30am NY Time Canada GDP m/m   Forecast 0.5%      Previous 0.6%
ACTION: USD/CAD         BUY 0.2%     SELL 0.8%

GDP is defined (by wikipedia) as: “the market value of all final goods and services produced within a country in a given period of time. It is also considered the sum of value added at every stage of production of all final goods and services produced within a country in a given period of time.” 

As GDP is basically the  measurement of  the “economy” as a whole and it certainly has a tremendous impact on the official interest rate, because better GDP equals to higher inflation, and higher inflation means higher interest rate.  With this week being a risk appetite driven market, a better than expected release has the potential of pushing USD/CAD to and below parity, therefore use extra caution when going against the bearish USD/CAD trend. 

I’ll be looking to BUY USD/CAD if we get a 0.2% or lower release, and SELL USD/CAD if we get a 0.8% or higher…

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