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Canada GDP m/m 03/31/10

by Henry Liu on March 30, 2010

8:30am NY Time Canada GDP m/m   Forecast 0.5%      Previous 0.6%
ACTION: USD/CAD         BUY 0.2%     SELL 0.8%

We’ll be trading the Canadian GDP release (m/m) today, and GDP is defined (by wikipedia) as:

“the market value of all final goods and services produced within a country in a given period of time. It is also considered the sum of value added at every stage of production of all final goods and services produced within a country in a given period of time.” 

As GDP is basically the  measurement of  the “economy” as a whole and it certainly has a tremendous impact on the official interest rate as better GDP equals to higher inflation, and higher inflation means higher interest rate.  With this week’s risk appetite driven market, a better than expected release has the potential of pushing USD/CAD to parity, therefore use extra caution when going against the bearish USD/CAD trend. 

We’ll be looking to BUY USD/CAD should be get a lower release of 0.2%, and SELL USD/CAD should we get a 0.8%…

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{ 2 comments… read them below or add one }

aniqa March 31, 2010 at 8:18 am

thnx henry for ur forex news alerts and insights. How the revision rate effect the actual rate of a news release and where can we c the revision rate of any news release. Plz reply.. thnx

Reply

Henry Liu March 31, 2010 at 7:27 pm

revision could affect the market if it is substantial, especially when it is in conflict with the actual release. As with any news, if it makes enough of a surprise, expect market to react, and that includes revision of a previous release.

YOu can get revision from the same news wire service that you get the actual releases. They are usually released at the same time via text or audio.

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