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Canada Core Retail Sales 03/19/2010

by Henry Liu on March 18, 2010

8:30am NY Time Core Retail Sales    Forecast 0.5%    Previous 0.5%
ACTION: USD/CAD        BUY -0.1%         SELL 1.1%

We’ll be focusing on the Canadian Core Retail Sales release today and not the headline Retail Sales release; the core release has a forecast expectation of 0.5% with a previous release at 0.4%.  Core Retail Sales release is a month on month release, and basically it’s a measurement of the activities at the retail level of Canada, but excluding most volatile components, Automobile Sales Components, which makes up about 25% of the Headline or Retail Sales release and varies seasonly. A better release generally means more consumer spending, which leads to better economy, thus better for its currency.  And the CORE reading provides a far more accurate look of the actual economy, especially with the recent recalls by Toyota and Honda.

I’m going to be looking for a minimum deviation of 0.6% for this release.  Therefore if we get a -0.1% or worse, it would be negative for the CAD and we’ll be looking to BUY USD/CAD; however, if the opposite is true, or a 1.1% of actual release, I’ll be looking to SELL USD/CAD. 

I’ll be posting my live trade video back in the blog as soon as I can.

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