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US Existing Home Sales 01/25/10

by Henry Liu on January 25, 2010

10:00am NY Time US Existing Home Sales    Forecast 5.95M     Previous 6.54M
ACTION: USD/JPY          BUY 6.35M            SELL 5.55M

We’ll be trading the Existing Home Sales, and since Housing news is one of the more important news event out of the US, this news release will certainly cause some volatility especially if our tradable figures were hit. It is important to consider that if we get a better than expected release, USD could suffer somewhat from risk appetite sentiment as signs of housing recovery translate into equity gains; however, a worse release may boost USD demand as investors seek safe-haven shelter in U.S. Treasury.  But the reaction of USD may be different against other pairs… for instance, a better release should be bearish for EUR/USD; a worse than expected release will be bad for USD/JPY… 

Definition:

“Measures the annualized number of existing residential buildings that were sold during the previous month. A rising trend has a positive effect on the nation’s currency because large purchases tend to be made by consumers that are optimistic and confident in their financial position. The sale of a home also triggers commissions for real estate agents, and often home owners will purchase goods such as appliances and furniture shortly after purchasing a home. Traders watch this report closely as it’s the month’s first demand-side housing indicator to be released.”

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{ 4 comments… read them below or add one }

reiki January 25, 2010 at 11:46 am

any suggest about stop loss for USDJPY?

Reply

Henry Liu January 25, 2010 at 6:09 pm

30 pips is usually the standard.

Reply

Chris January 25, 2010 at 10:14 am

Hi Henry,

I love the website. I just have a small question: when should you close your position? How many pips do you usually expect the market to move when a news story is published? And how long should you hold your position? Should you close the position if the market has not moved your way within the first 5 minutes, or do you sit for 2 hours?

kind regards,

Chris

Reply

Henry Liu January 25, 2010 at 6:11 pm

there is no one rule fits all. If you get to your SL then you are out, and if you get to your TP you are out too.
Always look at the context of the market for a reasonable TP/SL

Reply

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